Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Notts County win with a probability of 67.22%. A draw had a probability of 19.3% and a win for Aldershot Town had a probability of 13.51%.
The most likely scoreline for a Notts County win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.95%) and 2-1 (9.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.15%), while for an Aldershot Town win it was 0-1 (4.29%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Notts County in this match.