SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dorking Wanderers win with a probability of 52.14%. A win for Wealdstone had a probability of 26.57% and a draw had a probability of 21.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dorking Wanderers win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (6.5%) and 3-1 (6.35%). The likeliest Wealdstone win was 1-2 (6.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.02%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dorking Wanderers would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Dorking Wanderers | Draw | Wealdstone |
52.14% ( 0.02) | 21.29% ( -0) | 26.57% ( -0.02) |
| Both teams to score 66.24% ( -0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 67.57% ( -0.01) | 32.43% ( 0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 45.94% ( -0.02) | 54.06% ( 0.02) |
| Dorking Wanderers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.2% ( 0) | 12.79% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 60.9% ( 0) | 39.1% ( -0.01) |
| Wealdstone Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.96% ( -0.03) | 24.04% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.69% ( -0.03) | 58.31% ( 0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| Dorking Wanderers | Draw | Wealdstone |
| 2-1 @ 9.27% ( 0) 2-0 @ 6.5% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 6.35% ( 0)1-0 @ 6.33% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 4.53% ( -0)3-0 @ 4.46% ( 0)4-1 @ 3.27% ( 0)4-2 @ 2.33% ( -0)4-0 @ 2.29% ( 0)5-1 @ 1.34% ( 0)4-3 @ 1.11% ( -0)5-2 @ 0.96% 5-0 @ 0.94% ( 0)Other @ 2.48% Total : 52.14% | 1-1 @ 9.02% ( 0) 2-2 @ 6.61% ( -0)0-0 @ 3.08% ( 0)3-3 @ 2.15% ( -0)Other @ 0.44% Total : 21.29% | 1-2 @ 6.43% ( -0) 0-1 @ 4.38% 2-3 @ 3.14% ( -0)0-2 @ 3.13% ( -0)1-3 @ 3.05% ( -0)0-3 @ 1.49% ( -0)2-4 @ 1.12% ( -0)1-4 @ 1.09% ( -0)Other @ 2.75% Total : 26.57% |
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