SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dorking Wanderers win with a probability of 42.73%. A win for Altrincham had a probability of 33.2% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dorking Wanderers win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.92%) and 0-2 (6.4%). The likeliest Altrincham win was 2-1 (7.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.08%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Altrincham | Draw | Dorking Wanderers |
33.2% ( -0.04) | 24.07% ( -0.01) | 42.73% ( 0.05) |
| Both teams to score 60.37% ( 0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.04% ( 0.03) | 41.95% ( -0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.64% ( 0.03) | 64.35% ( -0.03) |
| Altrincham Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.32% ( -0.01) | 24.67% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.79% ( -0.01) | 59.2% ( 0.02) |
| Dorking Wanderers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.15% ( 0.03) | 19.85% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.05% ( 0.06) | 51.94% ( -0.06) |
| Score Analysis |
| Altrincham | Draw | Dorking Wanderers |
| 2-1 @ 7.75% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 6.85% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 4.8% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 3.62% ( -0)3-2 @ 2.93% 3-0 @ 2.24% ( -0)4-1 @ 1.27% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.02% Other @ 2.73% Total : 33.2% | 1-1 @ 11.08% 2-2 @ 6.27% ( 0)0-0 @ 4.9% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.58% ( 0)Other @ 0.24% Total : 24.07% | 1-2 @ 8.96% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 7.92% ( -0)0-2 @ 6.4% ( 0)1-3 @ 4.83% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 3.45% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 3.38% ( 0)1-4 @ 1.95% ( 0.01)0-4 @ 1.4% ( 0)2-4 @ 1.37% ( 0)Other @ 3.07% Total : 42.73% |
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