Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aldershot Town win with a probability of 45.57%. A win for Wealdstone had a probability of 30.19% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for an Aldershot Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.77%) and 2-0 (7.18%). The likeliest Wealdstone win was 1-2 (7.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.3%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood.
Result | ||
Aldershot Town | Draw | Wealdstone |
45.57% ( 0.39) | 24.24% ( -0.03) | 30.19% ( -0.36) |
Both teams to score 58.37% ( -0.11) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
56.03% ( -0.06) | 43.97% ( 0.06) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
33.64% ( -0.06) | 66.36% ( 0.06) |
Aldershot Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.55% ( 0.14) | 19.45% ( -0.14) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
48.7% ( 0.23) | 51.3% ( -0.23) |
Wealdstone Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.47% ( -0.27) | 27.53% ( 0.27) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.96% ( -0.35) | 63.04% ( 0.35) |
Score Analysis |
Aldershot Town | Draw | Wealdstone |
2-1 @ 9.26% ( 0.04) 1-0 @ 8.77% ( 0.06) 2-0 @ 7.18% ( 0.08) 3-1 @ 5.05% ( 0.04) 3-0 @ 3.92% ( 0.06) 3-2 @ 3.26% ( 0) 4-1 @ 2.07% ( 0.03) 4-0 @ 1.6% ( 0.03) 4-2 @ 1.33% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.13% Total : 45.57% | 1-1 @ 11.3% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.97% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 5.36% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.4% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.2% Total : 24.23% | 1-2 @ 7.29% ( -0.06) 0-1 @ 6.91% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 4.46% ( -0.06) 1-3 @ 3.14% ( -0.05) 2-3 @ 2.57% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 1.92% ( -0.04) 1-4 @ 1.01% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.91% Total : 30.19% |
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