SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boreham Wood win with a probability of 41.9%. A win for Eastleigh had a probability of 33.09% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Boreham Wood win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.89%) and 0-2 (6.76%). The likeliest Eastleigh win was 1-0 (7.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.77%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Eastleigh | Draw | Boreham Wood |
33.09% ( -0.42) | 25.01% ( 0.01) | 41.9% ( 0.41) |
| Both teams to score 57.01% ( -0.17) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.67% ( -0.17) | 46.33% ( 0.17) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.38% ( -0.16) | 68.61% ( 0.16) |
| Eastleigh Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.16% ( -0.34) | 26.84% ( 0.34) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 37.86% ( -0.45) | 62.14% ( 0.45) |
| Boreham Wood Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.92% ( 0.12) | 22.08% ( -0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 44.57% ( 0.18) | 55.42% ( -0.18) |
| Score Analysis |
| Eastleigh | Draw | Boreham Wood |
| 1-0 @ 7.79% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 7.74% ( -0.06)2-0 @ 5.13% ( -0.06)3-1 @ 3.4% ( -0.06)3-2 @ 2.56% ( -0.04)3-0 @ 2.25% ( -0.05)4-1 @ 1.12% ( -0.03)Other @ 3.11% Total : 33.09% | 1-1 @ 11.77% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 5.93% ( 0.04)2-2 @ 5.85% ( -0.03)3-3 @ 1.29% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.17% Total : 25.01% | 0-1 @ 8.95% ( 0.1) 1-2 @ 8.89% ( 0.04)0-2 @ 6.76% ( 0.1)1-3 @ 4.48% ( 0.04)0-3 @ 3.4% ( 0.06)2-3 @ 2.95% ( -0)1-4 @ 1.69% ( 0.02)0-4 @ 1.29% ( 0.03)2-4 @ 1.11% ( 0)Other @ 2.38% Total : 41.9% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Chesterfield | 21 | 17 | 2 | 2 | 53 | 28 | 25 | 53 |
| 2 | Bromley | 23 | 13 | 6 | 4 | 37 | 23 | 14 | 45 |
| 3 | Barnet | 22 | 13 | 3 | 6 | 43 | 35 | 8 | 42 |
| 4 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 22 | 10 | 7 | 5 | 32 | 30 | 2 | 37 |
| 5 | Gateshead | 21 | 10 | 6 | 5 | 47 | 27 | 20 | 36 |
| 6 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 22 | 11 | 3 | 8 | 38 | 36 | 2 | 36 |
| 7 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 21 | 9 | 8 | 4 | 40 | 29 | 11 | 35 |
| 8 | Rochdale | 23 | 9 | 6 | 8 | 40 | 35 | 5 | 33 |
| 9 | Halifax TownHalifax | 22 | 8 | 8 | 6 | 24 | 21 | 3 | 32 |
| 10 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 22 | 7 | 9 | 6 | 33 | 33 | 0 | 30 |
| 11 | Eastleigh | 22 | 8 | 6 | 8 | 34 | 37 | -3 | 30 |
| 12 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 22 | 8 | 3 | 11 | 36 | 42 | -6 | 27 |
| 13 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 23 | 6 | 9 | 8 | 27 | 33 | -6 | 27 |
| 14 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 21 | 7 | 5 | 9 | 26 | 30 | -4 | 26 |
| 15 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 21 | 10 | 5 | 6 | 37 | 22 | 15 | 25 |
| 16 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 22 | 7 | 4 | 11 | 24 | 29 | -5 | 25 |
| 17 | Dorking WanderersDorking | 21 | 7 | 4 | 10 | 26 | 37 | -11 | 25 |
| 18 | Boreham WoodBoreham Wood | 22 | 5 | 9 | 8 | 27 | 32 | -5 | 24 |
| 19 | York City | 22 | 5 | 8 | 9 | 31 | 41 | -10 | 23 |
| 20 | Woking | 22 | 6 | 4 | 12 | 24 | 30 | -6 | 22 |
| 21 | Ebbsfleet | 23 | 6 | 4 | 13 | 30 | 44 | -14 | 22 |
| 22 | Oxford CityOxford City | 23 | 5 | 6 | 12 | 34 | 46 | -12 | 21 |
| 23 | Kidderminster HarriersKidderminster | 23 | 4 | 7 | 12 | 17 | 29 | -12 | 19 |
| 24 | Fylde | 22 | 4 | 6 | 12 | 33 | 44 | -11 | 18 |
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