Boreham Wood beat Eastleigh comfortably when the sides last met in the FA Cup first round, and we think there will be a similar outcome here.
The Spitfires are on a poor run of form, and the FA Cup triumph over Bristol Rovers could give the Wood the lift they need to get the victory on Saturday.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boreham Wood win with a probability of 45.97%. A win for Eastleigh had a probability of 28.21% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Boreham Wood win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.16%) and 0-2 (8.25%). The likeliest Eastleigh win was 1-0 (8.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.28%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood.
-0.71) 
0.86) 
