SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Maidenhead United win with a probability of 40.18%. A win for Eastleigh had a probability of 33.3% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Maidenhead United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.55%) and 2-0 (7.07%). The likeliest Eastleigh win was 0-1 (9.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.61%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Maidenhead United would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Maidenhead United | Draw | Eastleigh |
40.18% ( 0.02) | 26.52% ( 0) | 33.3% ( -0.02) |
| Both teams to score 52.06% ( -0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.26% ( -0.02) | 52.74% ( 0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.63% ( -0.02) | 74.37% ( 0.02) |
| Maidenhead United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.21% | 25.79% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.26% ( 0) | 60.74% |
| Eastleigh Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.16% ( -0.02) | 29.84% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.07% ( -0.03) | 65.93% ( 0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| Maidenhead United | Draw | Eastleigh |
| 1-0 @ 10.43% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 8.55% ( 0)2-0 @ 7.07% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 3.86% ( 0)3-0 @ 3.19% ( 0)3-2 @ 2.33% ( -0)4-1 @ 1.31% 4-0 @ 1.08% ( 0)Other @ 2.36% Total : 40.18% | 1-1 @ 12.61% 0-0 @ 7.7% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 5.17% ( -0)3-3 @ 0.94% ( -0)Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.52% | 0-1 @ 9.31% ( 0) 1-2 @ 7.63% ( -0)0-2 @ 5.63% ( -0)1-3 @ 3.07% ( -0)0-3 @ 2.27% ( -0)2-3 @ 2.08% ( -0)1-4 @ 0.93% ( -0)Other @ 2.39% Total : 33.3% |
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