Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chesterfield win with a probability of 56.17%. A draw had a probability of 24.1% and a win for Boreham Wood had a probability of 19.74%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chesterfield win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.8%) and 1-2 (9.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.41%), while for a Boreham Wood win it was 1-0 (6.77%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chesterfield would win this match.
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