SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oxford City win with a probability of 39.96%. A win for Eastleigh had a probability of 35.23% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Oxford City win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.35%) and 0-2 (6.25%). The likeliest Eastleigh win was 2-1 (8.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.6%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Eastleigh | Draw | Oxford City |
35.23% ( -1.55) | 24.81% ( 0.5) | 39.96% ( 1.06) |
| Both teams to score 58.25% ( -2) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.05% ( -2.51) | 44.95% ( 2.51) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.7% ( -2.46) | 67.3% ( 2.45) |
| Eastleigh Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.08% ( -2) | 24.92% ( 2) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.46% ( -2.86) | 59.54% ( 2.86) |
| Oxford City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.58% ( -0.58) | 22.42% ( 0.58) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.05% ( -0.87) | 55.95% ( 0.87) |
| Score Analysis |
| Eastleigh | Draw | Oxford City |
| 2-1 @ 8.07% ( -0.2) 1-0 @ 7.76% ( 0.39)2-0 @ 5.39% ( -0.04)3-1 @ 3.74% ( -0.32)3-2 @ 2.79% ( -0.29)3-0 @ 2.5% ( -0.17)4-1 @ 1.3% ( -0.2)4-2 @ 0.97% ( -0.17)Other @ 2.71% Total : 35.23% | 1-1 @ 11.6% ( 0.38) 2-2 @ 6.03% ( -0.26)0-0 @ 5.59% ( 0.58)3-3 @ 1.39% ( -0.17)Other @ 0.2% Total : 24.81% | 1-2 @ 8.68% ( 0.14) 0-1 @ 8.35% ( 0.74)0-2 @ 6.25% ( 0.45)1-3 @ 4.33% ( -0)0-3 @ 3.11% ( 0.17)2-3 @ 3.01% ( -0.18)1-4 @ 1.62% ( -0.03)0-4 @ 1.16% ( 0.05)2-4 @ 1.12% ( -0.09)Other @ 2.34% Total : 39.96% |
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