Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ebbsfleet win with a probability of 41.16%. A win for Chesterfield had a probability of 34.67% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ebbsfleet win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.77%) and 2-0 (6.14%). The likeliest Chesterfield win was 1-2 (7.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.12%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7% likelihood.
0.03) 
-0.04) 
