SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Eastleigh win with a probability of 47.51%. A win for Scunthorpe United had a probability of 27.3% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Eastleigh win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.35%) and 2-0 (8.34%). The likeliest Scunthorpe United win was 0-1 (7.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.97%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Eastleigh would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Eastleigh | Draw | Scunthorpe United |
47.51% ( 0.08) | 25.19% ( -0.03) | 27.3% ( -0.05) |
| Both teams to score 53.25% ( 0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.2% ( 0.08) | 49.8% ( -0.08) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.2% ( 0.07) | 71.8% ( -0.07) |
| Eastleigh Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.02% ( 0.06) | 20.98% ( -0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.25% ( 0.1) | 53.74% ( -0.1) |
| Scunthorpe United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.39% | 32.61% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.85% ( 0) | 69.15% ( -0) |
| Score Analysis |
| Eastleigh | Draw | Scunthorpe United |
| 1-0 @ 10.68% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 9.35% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 8.34% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 4.87% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 4.34% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.73% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 1.9% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 1.7% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.06% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.55% Total : 47.51% | 1-1 @ 11.97% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 6.84% ( -0.02)2-2 @ 5.24% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.02% ( 0)Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.19% | 0-1 @ 7.67% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 6.71% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 4.3% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 2.51% ( -0)2-3 @ 1.96% ( 0)0-3 @ 1.61% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.56% Total : 27.3% |
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