Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Eastleigh win with a probability of 53.05%. A draw had a probability of 23.7% and a win for Torquay United had a probability of 23.23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Eastleigh win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.75%) and 2-0 (9.15%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.24%), while for a Torquay United win it was 0-1 (6.48%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Eastleigh in this match.