SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Eastleigh win with a probability of 39.6%. A win for Aldershot Town had a probability of 35.49% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Eastleigh win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.41%) and 0-2 (6.22%). The likeliest Aldershot Town win was 2-1 (8.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.67%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Aldershot Town | Draw | Eastleigh |
35.49% ( -2.87) | 24.91% ( -0.43) | 39.6% ( 3.3) |
| Both teams to score 57.96% ( 1.43) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.65% ( 1.89) | 45.35% ( -1.89) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.32% ( 1.78) | 67.68% ( -1.78) |
| Aldershot Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.04% ( -0.7) | 24.96% ( 0.7) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.4% ( -0.98) | 59.6% ( 0.99) |
| Eastleigh Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.23% ( 2.61) | 22.77% ( -2.61) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.53% ( 3.71) | 56.47% ( -3.71) |
| Score Analysis |
| Aldershot Town | Draw | Eastleigh |
| 2-1 @ 8.1% ( -0.37) 1-0 @ 7.89% ( -0.83)2-0 @ 5.48% ( -0.7)3-1 @ 3.75% ( -0.25)3-2 @ 2.77% ( 0.03)3-0 @ 2.53% ( -0.38)4-1 @ 1.3% ( -0.12)4-2 @ 0.96% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.71% Total : 35.49% | 1-1 @ 11.67% ( -0.28) 2-2 @ 5.99% ( 0.19)0-0 @ 5.68% ( -0.47)3-3 @ 1.37% ( 0.12)Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.91% | 1-2 @ 8.64% ( 0.44) 0-1 @ 8.41% ( -0.03)0-2 @ 6.22% ( 0.43)1-3 @ 4.26% ( 0.51)0-3 @ 3.07% ( 0.42)2-3 @ 2.96% ( 0.3)1-4 @ 1.58% ( 0.29)0-4 @ 1.14% ( 0.23)2-4 @ 1.09% ( 0.18)Other @ 2.25% Total : 39.6% |
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