SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Scunthorpe United win with a probability of 43.68%. A win for Aldershot Town had a probability of 30.96% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Scunthorpe United win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.05%) and 2-0 (7.37%). The likeliest Aldershot Town win was 0-1 (7.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.01%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Scunthorpe United | Draw | Aldershot Town |
43.68% ( -0.16) | 25.36% ( -0.03) | 30.96% ( 0.2) |
| Both teams to score 54.98% ( 0.2) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.41% ( 0.22) | 48.58% ( -0.22) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.29% ( 0.2) | 70.7% ( -0.2) |
| Scunthorpe United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.8% ( 0.02) | 22.2% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.39% ( 0.03) | 55.61% ( -0.03) |
| Aldershot Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.67% ( 0.24) | 29.32% ( -0.24) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.7% ( 0.3) | 65.3% ( -0.29) |
| Score Analysis |
| Scunthorpe United | Draw | Aldershot Town |
| 1-0 @ 9.8% ( -0.08) 2-1 @ 9.05% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 7.37% ( -0.06)3-1 @ 4.54% ( -0)3-0 @ 3.7% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 2.78% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 1.71% ( 0)4-0 @ 1.39% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.05% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.3% Total : 43.68% | 1-1 @ 12.01% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 6.51% ( -0.06)2-2 @ 5.55% ( 0.03)3-3 @ 1.14% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.35% | 0-1 @ 7.99% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 7.37% ( 0.04)0-2 @ 4.9% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 3.02% ( 0.04)2-3 @ 2.27% ( 0.03)0-3 @ 2% ( 0.02)1-4 @ 0.93% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.49% Total : 30.96% |
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