SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chesterfield win with a probability of 54.47%. A draw had a probability of 23.8% and a win for Eastleigh had a probability of 21.78%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chesterfield win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.76%) and 1-2 (9.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.29%), while for a Eastleigh win it was 1-0 (6.54%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Eastleigh | Draw | Chesterfield |
21.78% ( -0.01) | 23.75% ( 0.01) | 54.47% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 51.96% ( -0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.3% ( -0.05) | 48.69% ( 0.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.19% ( -0.04) | 70.8% ( 0.05) |
| Eastleigh Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.19% ( -0.04) | 36.8% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.4% ( -0.04) | 73.59% ( 0.04) |
| Chesterfield Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.23% ( -0.01) | 17.77% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.53% ( -0.02) | 48.46% ( 0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| Eastleigh | Draw | Chesterfield |
| 1-0 @ 6.54% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 5.64% ( -0)2-0 @ 3.27% 3-1 @ 1.88% ( -0)3-2 @ 1.63% ( -0)3-0 @ 1.09% ( -0)Other @ 1.74% Total : 21.78% | 1-1 @ 11.29% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 6.54% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 4.88% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 0.94% ( -0)Other @ 0.11% Total : 23.75% | 0-1 @ 11.29% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 9.76% ( 0.01)1-2 @ 9.76% ( -0)0-3 @ 5.62% ( 0)1-3 @ 5.62% ( -0)2-3 @ 2.81% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 2.43% ( -0)1-4 @ 2.43% ( -0)2-4 @ 1.21% ( -0)Other @ 3.54% Total : 54.46% |
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