Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chesterfield win with a probability of 54.47%. A draw had a probability of 23.8% and a win for Eastleigh had a probability of 21.78%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chesterfield win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.76%) and 1-2 (9.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.29%), while for a Eastleigh win it was 1-0 (6.54%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood.
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