SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 17 | Bromley | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 18 | Eastleigh | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 19 | Yeovil Town | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 4 | York City | 1 | 2 | 3 |
| 5 | Wealdstone | 1 | 1 | 3 |
| 6 | Scunthorpe United | 1 | 1 | 3 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wealdstone win with a probability of 38.78%. A win for Eastleigh had a probability of 36% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wealdstone win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.53%) and 0-2 (6.2%). The likeliest Eastleigh win was 1-0 (8.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.87%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Eastleigh | Draw | Wealdstone |
36% ( -0.52) | 25.21% ( 0.15) | 38.78% ( 0.37) |
| Both teams to score 56.93% ( -0.56) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.3% ( -0.7) | 46.7% ( 0.7) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.04% ( -0.66) | 68.96% ( 0.66) |
| Eastleigh Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.7% ( -0.61) | 25.29% ( 0.61) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.93% ( -0.85) | 60.06% ( 0.85) |
| Wealdstone Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.21% ( -0.12) | 23.79% ( 0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.05% ( -0.17) | 57.95% ( 0.17) |
| Score Analysis |
| Eastleigh | Draw | Wealdstone |
| 1-0 @ 8.27% ( 0.1) 2-1 @ 8.16% ( -0.08)2-0 @ 5.69% ( -0.03)3-1 @ 3.74% ( -0.1)3-2 @ 2.69% ( -0.08)3-0 @ 2.61% ( -0.06)4-1 @ 1.29% ( -0.06)4-2 @ 0.92% ( -0.04)Other @ 2.65% Total : 36% | 1-1 @ 11.87% ( 0.1) 0-0 @ 6.02% ( 0.18)2-2 @ 5.86% ( -0.08)3-3 @ 1.29% ( -0.05)Other @ 0.17% Total : 25.21% | 0-1 @ 8.64% ( 0.22) 1-2 @ 8.53% ( 0.04)0-2 @ 6.2% ( 0.14)1-3 @ 4.08% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 2.97% ( 0.06)2-3 @ 2.81% ( -0.05)1-4 @ 1.47% ( -0)0-4 @ 1.07% ( 0.02)2-4 @ 1.01% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.02% Total : 38.78% |
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