Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wrexham win with a probability of 65.11%. A draw had a probability of 19.4% and a win for Eastleigh had a probability of 15.46%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wrexham win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.88%) and 1-0 (9.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.09%), while for a Eastleigh win it was 1-2 (4.35%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Wrexham would win this match.