Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Eastleigh win with a probability of 61.06%. A draw had a probability of 21.7% and a win for Wealdstone had a probability of 17.28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Eastleigh win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.86%) and 2-1 (9.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.29%), while for a Wealdstone win it was 0-1 (5.36%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Eastleigh would win this match.
