SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fylde win with a probability of 44.23%. A win for Gateshead had a probability of 33.28% and a draw had a probability of 22.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fylde win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.16%) and 2-0 (5.62%). The likeliest Gateshead win was 1-2 (7.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.62%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fylde would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Fylde | Draw | Gateshead |
44.23% ( -0.25) | 22.48% ( 0.03) | 33.28% ( 0.22) |
| Both teams to score 66.34% ( -0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 65.84% ( -0.06) | 34.16% ( 0.06) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 43.96% ( -0.07) | 56.04% ( 0.07) |
| Fylde Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.91% ( -0.12) | 16.09% ( 0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 54.52% ( -0.21) | 45.48% ( 0.21) |
| Gateshead Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.06% ( 0.09) | 20.94% ( -0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.32% ( 0.14) | 53.68% ( -0.14) |
| Score Analysis |
| Fylde | Draw | Gateshead |
| 2-1 @ 8.79% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 6.16% ( -0)2-0 @ 5.62% ( -0.03)3-1 @ 5.36% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 4.19% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 3.43% ( -0.03)4-1 @ 2.45% ( -0.02)4-2 @ 1.91% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 1.57% ( -0.02)4-3 @ 1% ( -0)Other @ 3.78% Total : 44.23% | 1-1 @ 9.62% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 6.87% ( 0)0-0 @ 3.37% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 2.18% ( -0)Other @ 0.44% Total : 22.48% | 1-2 @ 7.52% ( 0.03) 0-1 @ 5.27% ( 0.03)0-2 @ 4.12% ( 0.03)1-3 @ 3.92% ( 0.03)2-3 @ 3.58% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 2.15% ( 0.02)1-4 @ 1.53% ( 0.02)2-4 @ 1.4% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.8% Total : 33.28% |
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