SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gateshead win with a probability of 63.63%. A draw had a probability of 18.7% and a win for Rochdale had a probability of 17.69%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gateshead win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.09%) and 3-1 (7.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.08%), while for a Rochdale win it was 1-2 (4.76%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Gateshead would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Gateshead | Draw | Rochdale |
63.63% ( 0.01) | 18.68% ( -0.01) | 17.69% |
| Both teams to score 62.7% ( 0.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 68.63% ( 0.08) | 31.37% ( -0.08) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 47.18% ( 0.09) | 52.82% ( -0.09) |
| Gateshead Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 90.56% ( 0.03) | 9.44% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 68.28% ( 0.06) | 31.72% ( -0.06) |
| Rochdale Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.24% ( 0.05) | 30.76% ( -0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.97% ( 0.06) | 67.03% ( -0.06) |
| Score Analysis |
| Gateshead | Draw | Rochdale |
| 2-1 @ 9.54% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 8.09% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 7.5% ( 0)1-0 @ 6.85% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 6.36% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 4.43% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 4.42% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 3.76% ( 0)4-2 @ 2.61% ( 0.01)5-1 @ 2.09% ( 0.01)5-0 @ 1.77% ( 0)5-2 @ 1.23% ( 0)4-3 @ 1.03% ( 0)Other @ 3.95% Total : 63.63% | 1-1 @ 8.08% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.62% ( 0.01)0-0 @ 2.9% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.74% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.34% Total : 18.68% | 1-2 @ 4.76% ( -0) 0-1 @ 3.42% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 2.21% ( 0)0-2 @ 2.02% ( -0)1-3 @ 1.87% ( 0)Other @ 3.41% Total : 17.69% |
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