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National League | Gameweek 38
Mar 26, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Gateshead International Stadium
HU

Gateshead
7 - 1
Hartlepool

Hannant (28' pen.), Evans (47'), Brown (53', 70'), Booty (60'), Whelan (73'), Duffus (90' og.)
Richardson (52')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Grey (8')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Altrincham 2-3 Gateshead
Saturday, March 23 at 3pm in National League
Last Game: Eastleigh 1-1 Hartlepool
Saturday, March 23 at 3pm in National League

We said: Gateshead 2-1 Hartlepool United

Although Hartlepool head into this fixture on the back of two draws, confidence remains low ahead of a highly-anticipated fixture. In sharp contrast, Gateshead have just come through a thriller against a promotion rival and we are backing another hard-earned triumph here. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gateshead win with a probability of 54.62%. A win for Hartlepool United had a probability of 23.45% and a draw had a probability of 21.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Gateshead win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.22%) and 2-0 (8.04%). The likeliest Hartlepool United win was 1-2 (6.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.98%). The actual scoreline of 7-1 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Gateshead would win this match.

Result
GatesheadDrawHartlepool United
54.62% (-0.128 -0.13) 21.92% (-0.027999999999999 -0.03) 23.45% (0.155 0.16)
Both teams to score 60.33% (0.295 0.3)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.34% (0.3 0.3)38.65% (-0.301 -0.3)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.04% (0.317 0.32)60.95% (-0.318 -0.32)
Gateshead Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.84% (0.060999999999993 0.06)14.16% (-0.061 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.16% (0.121 0.12)41.83% (-0.121 -0.12)
Hartlepool United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.28% (0.294 0.29)29.71% (-0.295 -0.29)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.22% (0.355 0.36)65.77% (-0.35600000000001 -0.36)
Score Analysis
    Gateshead 54.62%
    Hartlepool United 23.45%
    Draw 21.92%
GatesheadDrawHartlepool United
2-1 @ 9.76% (-0.016 -0.02)
1-0 @ 8.22% (-0.099 -0.1)
2-0 @ 8.04% (-0.079000000000001 -0.08)
3-1 @ 6.36% (0.0040000000000004 0)
3-0 @ 5.24% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
3-2 @ 3.86% (0.034 0.03)
4-1 @ 3.11% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
4-0 @ 2.56% (-0.014 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.89% (0.021 0.02)
5-1 @ 1.22% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
5-0 @ 1% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 3.38%
Total : 54.62%
1-1 @ 9.98% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
2-2 @ 5.92% (0.037999999999999 0.04)
0-0 @ 4.21% (-0.06 -0.06)
3-3 @ 1.56% (0.026 0.03)
Other @ 0.25%
Total : 21.92%
1-2 @ 6.06% (0.026 0.03)
0-1 @ 5.11% (-0.031 -0.03)
0-2 @ 3.1% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
1-3 @ 2.45% (0.031 0.03)
2-3 @ 2.4% (0.036 0.04)
0-3 @ 1.25% (0.013 0.01)
Other @ 3.1%
Total : 23.45%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Altrincham 2-3 Gateshead
Saturday, March 23 at 3pm in National League
Last Game: Ebbsfleet 4-2 Gateshead
Saturday, March 16 at 3pm in National League
Last Game: Gateshead 1-0 Dag & Red
Tuesday, March 12 at 7.45pm in National League
Last Game: Gateshead 2-3 Solihull
Tuesday, March 5 at 7.45pm in National League
Last Game: Boreham Wood 1-1 Gateshead
Saturday, March 2 at 3pm in National League
Last Game: Woking 3-2 Gateshead
Tuesday, February 27 at 7.45pm in National League
Last Game: Eastleigh 1-1 Hartlepool
Saturday, March 23 at 3pm in National League
Last Game: Hartlepool 0-0 Southend
Saturday, March 16 at 3pm in National League
Last Game: Hartlepool 1-2 Barnet
Saturday, March 2 at 3pm in National League
Last Game: Solihull 2-1 Hartlepool
Saturday, February 24 at 3pm in National League
Last Game: Hartlepool 3-2 Altrincham
Tuesday, February 20 at 7.45pm in National League
Last Game: Hartlepool 3-1 Boreham Wood
Saturday, February 17 at 3pm in National League


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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