There is very little between the two teams in the league table and that should lead to a close and competitive fixture this weekend.
Playing at home will provide Altrincham with a slight advantage and that could be the difference maker in this important match in the fight for promotion.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Altrincham win with a probability of 41.13%. A win for Gateshead had a probability of 35.75% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.
The most likely scoreline for an Altrincham win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.49%) and 2-0 (5.5%). The likeliest Gateshead win was 1-2 (7.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.17%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood.
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