Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chesterfield win with a probability of 63.28%. A draw had a probability of 19.3% and a win for Fylde had a probability of 17.46%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chesterfield win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.8%) and 1-0 (7.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.64%), while for a Fylde win it was 1-2 (4.78%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chesterfield would win this match.
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