SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kidderminster Harriers win with a probability of 40.13%. A win for Fylde had a probability of 32.41% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kidderminster Harriers win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.35%) and 0-2 (7.41%). The likeliest Fylde win was 1-0 (10.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.97%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Fylde | Draw | Kidderminster Harriers |
32.41% ( 5.16) | 27.46% ( 0.27) | 40.13% ( -5.44) |
| Both teams to score 48.93% ( 1.67) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.39% ( 0.95) | 56.61% ( -0.95) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.42% ( 0.76) | 77.58% ( -0.76) |
| Fylde Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.6% ( 4.41) | 32.4% ( -4.41) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.08% ( 4.68) | 68.91% ( -4.68) |
| Kidderminster Harriers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.38% ( -2.41) | 27.61% ( 2.41) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.85% ( -3.21) | 63.15% ( 3.2) |
| Score Analysis |
| Fylde | Draw | Kidderminster Harriers |
| 1-0 @ 10.08% ( 0.81) 2-1 @ 7.31% ( 0.93)2-0 @ 5.68% ( 1.05)3-1 @ 2.75% ( 0.62)3-0 @ 2.14% ( 0.59)3-2 @ 1.77% ( 0.3)Other @ 2.68% Total : 32.4% | 1-1 @ 12.97% ( 0.2) 0-0 @ 8.95% ( -0.33)2-2 @ 4.71% ( 0.31)Other @ 0.83% Total : 27.45% | 0-1 @ 11.51% ( -1.27) 1-2 @ 8.35% ( -0.46)0-2 @ 7.41% ( -1.4)1-3 @ 3.58% ( -0.46)0-3 @ 3.18% ( -0.87)2-3 @ 2.02% ( -0)1-4 @ 1.15% ( -0.24)0-4 @ 1.02% ( -0.37)Other @ 1.91% Total : 40.13% |
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