SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chesterfield win with a probability of 56.56%. A draw had a probability of 23% and a win for Fylde had a probability of 20.39%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chesterfield win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.03%) and 1-2 (9.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.95%), while for a Fylde win it was 1-0 (6.09%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chesterfield would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Fylde | Draw | Chesterfield |
20.39% ( -0.62) | 23.05% ( -0.05) | 56.56% ( 0.67) |
| Both teams to score 52.18% ( -0.77) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.59% ( -0.56) | 47.41% ( 0.56) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.37% ( -0.52) | 69.63% ( 0.53) |
| Fylde Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.53% ( -0.95) | 37.47% ( 0.95) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.75% ( -0.94) | 74.25% ( 0.95) |
| Chesterfield Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.45% ( 0.03) | 16.55% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 53.68% ( 0.06) | 46.32% ( -0.06) |
| Score Analysis |
| Fylde | Draw | Chesterfield |
| 1-0 @ 6.09% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 5.38% ( -0.15)2-0 @ 2.99% ( -0.09)3-1 @ 1.76% ( -0.1)3-2 @ 1.58% ( -0.08)3-0 @ 0.98% ( -0.05)Other @ 1.62% Total : 20.39% | 1-1 @ 10.95% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 6.2% ( 0.15)2-2 @ 4.83% ( -0.13)3-3 @ 0.95% ( -0.05)Other @ 0.11% Total : 23.05% | 0-1 @ 11.15% ( 0.27) 0-2 @ 10.03% ( 0.25)1-2 @ 9.85% ( 0)0-3 @ 6.01% ( 0.16)1-3 @ 5.91% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 2.9% ( -0.07)0-4 @ 2.71% ( 0.08)1-4 @ 2.66% ( 0.01)2-4 @ 1.3% ( -0.03)0-5 @ 0.97% ( 0.03)1-5 @ 0.96% ( 0)Other @ 2.12% Total : 56.56% |
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