SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fylde win with a probability of 60.52%. A draw had a probability of 23.1% and a win for Bradford Park Avenue had a probability of 16.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fylde win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (12.12%) and 1-2 (9.55%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.85%), while for a Bradford Park Avenue win it was 1-0 (6.17%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fylde would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Bradford Park Avenue | Draw | Fylde |
16.4% ( 1.28) | 23.08% ( 0.59) | 60.52% ( -1.87) |
| Both teams to score 45.12% ( 1) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.81% ( -0.15) | 53.19% ( 0.15) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.25% ( -0.12) | 74.76% ( 0.13) |
| Bradford Park Avenue Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 54.51% ( 1.65) | 45.49% ( -1.65) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 18.68% ( 1.27) | 81.33% ( -1.27) |
| Fylde Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.78% ( -0.7) | 17.22% ( 0.7) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.49% ( -1.25) | 47.51% ( 1.25) |
| Score Analysis |
| Bradford Park Avenue | Draw | Fylde |
| 1-0 @ 6.17% ( 0.31) 2-1 @ 4.27% ( 0.31)2-0 @ 2.43% ( 0.23)3-1 @ 1.12% ( 0.13)3-2 @ 0.99% ( 0.09)Other @ 1.42% Total : 16.4% | 1-1 @ 10.85% ( 0.31) 0-0 @ 7.83% ( 0.05)2-2 @ 3.76% ( 0.19)Other @ 0.63% Total : 23.08% | 0-1 @ 13.78% ( -0.24) 0-2 @ 12.12% ( -0.5)1-2 @ 9.55% ( 0.05)0-3 @ 7.11% ( -0.47)1-3 @ 5.6% ( -0.1)0-4 @ 3.13% ( -0.29)1-4 @ 2.46% ( -0.1)2-3 @ 2.2% ( 0.06)0-5 @ 1.1% ( -0.13)2-4 @ 0.97% ( 0)Other @ 2.5% Total : 60.52% |
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