Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kidderminster Harriers win with a probability of 41.4%. A win for Alfreton Town had a probability of 30.56% and a draw had a probability of 28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kidderminster Harriers win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.31%) and 0-2 (7.94%). The likeliest Alfreton Town win was 1-0 (10.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.11%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Kidderminster Harriers in this match.
