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National League | Gameweek 45
Apr 13, 2024 at 3pm UK
Mill Farm Stadium
SU

Fylde
0 - 2
Southend


Hunter (90+2')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Waldron (52'), Cardwell (71')
Miley (67')
Coverage of the National League clash between Fylde and Southend United.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Fylde 2-0 Gateshead
Thursday, April 11 at 7.45pm in National League
Last Game: Wealdstone 1-2 Southend
Tuesday, April 9 at 7.45pm in National League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southend United win with a probability of 39.13%. A win for Fylde had a probability of 36.27% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Southend United win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.97%) and 0-2 (5.98%). The likeliest Fylde win was 2-1 (8.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.43%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Southend United would win this match.

Result
FyldeDrawSouthend United
36.27% (-1.347 -1.35) 24.6% (0.407 0.41) 39.13% (0.941 0.94)
Both teams to score 59.18% (-1.59 -1.59)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.19% (-2.024 -2.02)43.81% (2.026 2.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.8% (-2.01 -2.01)66.2% (2.012 2.01)
Fylde Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.19% (-1.622 -1.62)23.81% (1.623 1.62)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.01% (-2.385 -2.39)57.98% (2.385 2.39)
Southend United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.67% (-0.423 -0.42)22.33% (0.425 0.43)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.19% (-0.641 -0.64)55.8% (0.64100000000001 0.64)
Score Analysis
    Fylde 36.27%
    Southend United 39.13%
    Draw 24.59%
FyldeDrawSouthend United
2-1 @ 8.21% (-0.157 -0.16)
1-0 @ 7.63% (0.313 0.31)
2-0 @ 5.47% (-0.034 -0.03)
3-1 @ 3.93% (-0.271 -0.27)
3-2 @ 2.94% (-0.244 -0.24)
3-0 @ 2.62% (-0.146 -0.15)
4-1 @ 1.41% (-0.172 -0.17)
4-2 @ 1.06% (-0.144 -0.14)
4-0 @ 0.94% (-0.101 -0.1)
Other @ 2.07%
Total : 36.27%
1-1 @ 11.43% (0.32 0.32)
2-2 @ 6.15% (-0.198 -0.2)
0-0 @ 5.32% (0.457 0.46)
3-3 @ 1.47% (-0.142 -0.14)
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 24.59%
1-2 @ 8.58% (0.139 0.14)
0-1 @ 7.97% (0.591 0.59)
0-2 @ 5.98% (0.372 0.37)
1-3 @ 4.29% (0.015 0.01)
2-3 @ 3.08% (-0.14 -0.14)
0-3 @ 2.99% (0.15 0.15)
1-4 @ 1.61% (-0.015 -0.01)
2-4 @ 1.15% (-0.067 -0.07)
0-4 @ 1.12% (0.043 0.04)
Other @ 2.38%
Total : 39.13%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Fylde 2-0 Gateshead
Thursday, April 11 at 7.45pm in National League
Last Game: Ebbsfleet 2-1 Fylde
Saturday, April 6 at 3pm in National League
Last Game: Oldham 1-3 Fylde
Friday, March 29 at 3pm in National League
Last Game: Fylde 2-1 Oxford City
Saturday, March 23 at 3pm in National League
Last Game: Fylde 1-2 Wealdstone
Saturday, March 16 at 3pm in National League
Last Game: Kidderminster 1-1 Fylde
Tuesday, March 12 at 7.45pm in National League
Last Game: Wealdstone 1-2 Southend
Tuesday, April 9 at 7.45pm in National League
Last Game: Southend 4-2 Boreham Wood
Monday, April 1 at 3pm in National League
Last Game: Ebbsfleet 1-1 Southend
Friday, March 29 at 3pm in National League
Last Game: Solihull 0-3 Southend
Tuesday, March 26 at 7.45pm in National League
Last Game: Southend 0-0 Woking
Saturday, March 23 at 3pm in National League
Last Game: Hartlepool 0-0 Southend
Saturday, March 16 at 3pm in National League


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