SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southend United win with a probability of 48.43%. A win for Wealdstone had a probability of 27.33% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Southend United win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.49%) and 0-2 (7.98%). The likeliest Wealdstone win was 1-0 (6.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.41%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Southend United would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Wealdstone | Draw | Southend United |
27.33% ( -0.09) | 24.24% ( -0.06) | 48.43% ( 0.15) |
| Both teams to score 56.37% ( 0.1) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.29% ( 0.17) | 45.7% ( -0.17) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.97% ( 0.16) | 68.02% ( -0.16) |
| Wealdstone Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.56% ( 0.02) | 30.43% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.36% ( 0.02) | 66.64% ( -0.03) |
| Southend United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.03% ( 0.12) | 18.96% ( -0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.51% ( 0.21) | 50.49% ( -0.21) |
| Score Analysis |
| Wealdstone | Draw | Southend United |
| 1-0 @ 6.86% ( -0.05) 2-1 @ 6.79% ( -0.02)2-0 @ 4.08% ( -0.03)3-1 @ 2.69% ( -0)3-2 @ 2.24% ( 0)3-0 @ 1.62% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.04% Total : 27.33% | 1-1 @ 11.41% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 5.77% ( -0.04)2-2 @ 5.65% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.24% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.17% Total : 24.23% | 0-1 @ 9.6% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 9.49% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 7.98% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 5.26% ( 0.03)0-3 @ 4.42% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 3.13% ( 0.02)1-4 @ 2.19% ( 0.02)0-4 @ 1.84% ( 0.02)2-4 @ 1.3% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.23% Total : 48.43% |
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