SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gateshead win with a probability of 49.79%. A win for Barnet had a probability of 28% and a draw had a probability of 22.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gateshead win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7%) and 2-0 (6.71%). The likeliest Barnet win was 1-2 (6.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.75%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Gateshead in this match.
| Result | ||
| Gateshead | Draw | Barnet |
49.79% ( 0.03) | 22.21% ( 0) | 28% ( -0.03) |
| Both teams to score 64.12% ( -0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 64.25% ( -0.05) | 35.75% ( 0.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 42.18% ( -0.05) | 57.82% ( 0.05) |
| Gateshead Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.29% ( -0.01) | 14.72% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 57.09% ( -0.01) | 42.91% ( 0.01) |
| Barnet Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.18% ( -0.05) | 24.82% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.59% ( -0.06) | 59.41% ( 0.06) |
| Score Analysis |
| Gateshead | Draw | Barnet |
| 2-1 @ 9.35% ( 0) 1-0 @ 7% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 6.71% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 5.97% ( 0)3-0 @ 4.28% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 4.16% ( -0)4-1 @ 2.86% ( 0)4-0 @ 2.05% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.99% ( -0)5-1 @ 1.1% 4-3 @ 0.93% ( -0)Other @ 3.4% Total : 49.79% | 1-1 @ 9.75% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 6.51% ( -0)0-0 @ 3.65% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.93% ( -0)Other @ 0.36% Total : 22.21% | 1-2 @ 6.8% ( -0) 0-1 @ 5.09% ( 0)0-2 @ 3.55% ( -0)1-3 @ 3.16% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 3.02% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 1.65% ( -0)1-4 @ 1.1% ( -0)2-4 @ 1.05% ( -0)Other @ 2.59% Total : 28% |
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