SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gateshead win with a probability of 59.58%. A draw had a probability of 21% and a win for York City had a probability of 19.42%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gateshead win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.19%) and 1-0 (9.01%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.72%), while for a York City win it was 1-2 (5.25%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Gateshead | Draw | York City |
59.58% ( -0.27) | 21% ( 0.08) | 19.42% ( 0.18) |
| Both teams to score 57.44% ( 0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.33% ( -0.11) | 39.66% ( 0.1) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.98% ( -0.11) | 62.01% ( 0.11) |
| Gateshead Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.01% ( -0.12) | 12.98% ( 0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 60.51% ( -0.23) | 39.48% ( 0.23) |
| York City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.01% ( 0.13) | 33.98% ( -0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.33% ( 0.14) | 70.66% ( -0.14) |
| Score Analysis |
| Gateshead | Draw | York City |
| 2-1 @ 9.92% ( -0) 2-0 @ 9.19% ( -0.03)1-0 @ 9.01% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 6.75% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 6.26% ( -0.05)3-2 @ 3.65% ( -0)4-1 @ 3.45% ( -0.03)4-0 @ 3.19% ( -0.04)4-2 @ 1.86% ( -0.01)5-1 @ 1.41% ( -0.02)5-0 @ 1.3% ( -0.02)Other @ 3.58% Total : 59.58% | 1-1 @ 9.72% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 5.36% ( 0.02)0-0 @ 4.41% ( 0.02)3-3 @ 1.31% ( 0)Other @ 0.2% Total : 21% | 1-2 @ 5.25% ( 0.04) 0-1 @ 4.76% ( 0.04)0-2 @ 2.57% ( 0.03)2-3 @ 1.93% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 1.89% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 0.92% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.11% Total : 19.42% |
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