SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gateshead win with a probability of 46.91%. A win for York City had a probability of 29.68% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gateshead win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.96%) and 0-2 (6.94%). The likeliest York City win was 2-1 (7.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.69%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| York City | Draw | Gateshead |
29.68% ( -0.07) | 23.41% ( -0.04) | 46.91% ( 0.11) |
| Both teams to score 60.97% ( 0.08) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.58% ( 0.13) | 40.41% ( -0.13) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.21% ( 0.13) | 62.79% ( -0.13) |
| York City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.9% ( 0.01) | 26.09% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.85% ( 0.02) | 61.14% ( -0.03) |
| Gateshead Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.49% ( 0.09) | 17.5% ( -0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.99% ( 0.16) | 48.01% ( -0.16) |
| Score Analysis |
| York City | Draw | Gateshead |
| 2-1 @ 7.18% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 6.14% ( -0.03)2-0 @ 4.12% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 3.22% ( -0)3-2 @ 2.8% ( 0)3-0 @ 1.85% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 1.08% ( -0)4-2 @ 0.94% ( 0)Other @ 2.35% Total : 29.68% | 1-1 @ 10.69% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 6.26% ( 0.01)0-0 @ 4.57% ( -0.03)3-3 @ 1.63% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.26% Total : 23.41% | 1-2 @ 9.32% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 7.96% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 6.94% ( 0)1-3 @ 5.41% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 4.03% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 3.64% ( 0.02)1-4 @ 2.36% ( 0.02)0-4 @ 1.76% ( 0.01)2-4 @ 1.58% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.92% Total : 46.91% |
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