SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gateshead win with a probability of 64.08%. A draw had a probability of 20.9% and a win for Yeovil Town had a probability of 15.06%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gateshead win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.73%) and 2-1 (9.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.92%), while for a Yeovil Town win it was 0-1 (5.02%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Gateshead would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Gateshead | Draw | Yeovil Town |
64.08% ( -0.28) | 20.86% ( -0.41) | 15.06% ( 0.69) |
| Both teams to score 48.79% ( 2.9) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.35% ( 3.01) | 46.65% ( -3) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.08% ( 2.76) | 68.92% ( -2.75) |
| Gateshead Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.15% ( 0.88) | 13.85% ( -0.88) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 58.77% ( 1.71) | 41.23% ( -1.71) |
| Yeovil Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 56.64% ( 2.82) | 43.36% ( -2.81) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 20.41% ( 2.26) | 79.6% ( -2.26) |
| Score Analysis |
| Gateshead | Draw | Yeovil Town |
| 1-0 @ 11.87% ( -1.15) 2-0 @ 11.73% ( -0.74)2-1 @ 9.81% ( 0.17)3-0 @ 7.73% ( -0.23)3-1 @ 6.46% ( 0.31)4-0 @ 3.82% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 3.19% ( 0.25)3-2 @ 2.7% ( 0.32)5-0 @ 1.51% ( 0.05)4-2 @ 1.33% ( 0.2)5-1 @ 1.26% ( 0.13)Other @ 2.65% Total : 64.08% | 1-1 @ 9.92% ( -0.14) 0-0 @ 6.01% ( -0.8)2-2 @ 4.1% ( 0.37)Other @ 0.84% Total : 20.86% | 0-1 @ 5.02% ( -0.24) 1-2 @ 4.15% ( 0.26)0-2 @ 2.1% ( 0.07)1-3 @ 1.15% ( 0.15)2-3 @ 1.14% ( 0.18)Other @ 1.51% Total : 15.06% |
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