Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southend United win with a probability of 43.4%. A win for Yeovil Town had a probability of 29.08% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Southend United win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.6%) and 0-2 (8.31%). The likeliest Yeovil Town win was 1-0 (9.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.93%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Southend United would win this match.
0.02) 
-0.03) 
