SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Yeovil Town win with a probability of 42.59%. A win for Gateshead had a probability of 31.71% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Yeovil Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.91%) and 2-0 (7.28%). The likeliest Gateshead win was 0-1 (8.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.2%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Yeovil Town would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Yeovil Town | Draw | Gateshead |
42.59% ( 0.25) | 25.7% ( -0.07) | 31.71% ( -0.18) |
| Both teams to score 54.2% ( 0.16) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.25% ( 0.25) | 49.75% ( -0.24) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.24% ( 0.22) | 71.75% ( -0.22) |
| Yeovil Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.78% ( 0.23) | 23.22% ( -0.23) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.88% ( 0.33) | 57.12% ( -0.33) |
| Gateshead Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.6% ( 0) | 29.4% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.61% ( 0) | 65.39% ( -0) |
| Score Analysis |
| Yeovil Town | Draw | Gateshead |
| 1-0 @ 9.97% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 8.91% ( 0.03)2-0 @ 7.28% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 4.34% ( 0.04)3-0 @ 3.54% ( 0.04)3-2 @ 2.65% ( 0.03)4-1 @ 1.58% ( 0.03)4-0 @ 1.29% ( 0.02)4-2 @ 0.97% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.06% Total : 42.59% | 1-1 @ 12.2% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 6.83% ( -0.07)2-2 @ 5.45% ( 0.02)3-3 @ 1.08% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.69% | 0-1 @ 8.36% ( -0.08) 1-2 @ 7.47% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 5.12% ( -0.05)1-3 @ 3.05% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 2.23% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 2.09% ( -0.02)1-4 @ 0.93% ( -0)Other @ 2.48% Total : 31.71% |
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