SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southend United win with a probability of 59.78%. A draw had a probability of 21.2% and a win for Dorking Wanderers had a probability of 18.99%.
The most likely scoreline for a Southend United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.6%) and 1-0 (9.57%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.93%), while for a Dorking Wanderers win it was 1-2 (5.15%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Southend United would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Southend United | Draw | Dorking Wanderers |
59.78% ( -0.08) | 21.23% ( -0.07) | 18.99% ( 0.16) |
| Both teams to score 55.85% ( 0.55) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.6% ( 0.59) | 41.39% ( -0.59) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.2% ( 0.6) | 63.79% ( -0.59) |
| Southend United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.53% ( 0.17) | 13.47% ( -0.17) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 59.52% ( 0.33) | 40.48% ( -0.33) |
| Dorking Wanderers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.55% ( 0.52) | 35.45% ( -0.52) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.79% ( 0.53) | 72.21% ( -0.53) |
| Score Analysis |
| Southend United | Draw | Dorking Wanderers |
| 2-1 @ 9.95% ( -0) 2-0 @ 9.6% ( -0.14)1-0 @ 9.57% ( -0.2)3-1 @ 6.65% ( 0.04)3-0 @ 6.41% ( -0.05)3-2 @ 3.45% ( 0.07)4-1 @ 3.33% ( 0.04)4-0 @ 3.21% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.73% ( 0.04)5-1 @ 1.34% ( 0.02)5-0 @ 1.29% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.26% Total : 59.78% | 1-1 @ 9.93% ( -0.06) 2-2 @ 5.16% ( 0.07)0-0 @ 4.78% ( -0.13)3-3 @ 1.19% ( 0.04)Other @ 0.17% Total : 21.23% | 1-2 @ 5.15% ( 0.04) 0-1 @ 4.95% ( -0.06)0-2 @ 2.57% ( 0)2-3 @ 1.78% ( 0.05)1-3 @ 1.78% ( 0.04)Other @ 2.76% Total : 18.99% |
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