SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dorking Wanderers win with a probability of 45.35%. A win for Aldershot Town had a probability of 31.75% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dorking Wanderers win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.91%) and 2-0 (6.18%). The likeliest Aldershot Town win was 1-2 (7.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.13%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Dorking Wanderers | Draw | Aldershot Town |
45.35% ( 0.24) | 22.91% ( -0.05) | 31.75% ( -0.18) |
| Both teams to score 64.03% ( 0.09) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 63.1% ( 0.16) | 36.91% ( -0.14) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 40.92% ( 0.17) | 59.09% ( -0.16) |
| Dorking Wanderers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.26% ( 0.16) | 16.74% ( -0.15) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 53.34% ( 0.27) | 46.67% ( -0.26) |
| Aldershot Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.9% ( -0.03) | 23.1% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.05% ( -0.04) | 56.96% ( 0.06) |
| Score Analysis |
| Dorking Wanderers | Draw | Aldershot Town |
| 2-1 @ 9.05% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 6.91% ( -0.02)2-0 @ 6.18% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 5.39% ( 0.04)3-2 @ 3.95% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 3.68% ( 0.03)4-1 @ 2.41% ( 0.03)4-2 @ 1.77% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 1.64% ( 0.02)Other @ 4.37% Total : 45.35% | 1-1 @ 10.13% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 6.63% ( 0)0-0 @ 3.87% ( -0.03)3-3 @ 1.93% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.35% Total : 22.91% | 1-2 @ 7.42% ( -0.03) 0-1 @ 5.67% ( -0.05)0-2 @ 4.15% ( -0.04)1-3 @ 3.62% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 3.24% ( -0)0-3 @ 2.03% ( -0.02)1-4 @ 1.33% ( -0.01)2-4 @ 1.19% ( -0)Other @ 3.1% Total : 31.75% |
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