SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a York City win with a probability of 41.07%. A win for Dorking Wanderers had a probability of 35.79% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a York City win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.49%) and 0-2 (5.5%). The likeliest Dorking Wanderers win was 2-1 (7.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.18%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Dorking Wanderers | Draw | York City |
35.79% ( -0.07) | 23.14% ( 0.01) | 41.07% ( 0.06) |
| Both teams to score 64.58% ( -0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 63.25% ( -0.05) | 36.74% ( 0.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 41.09% ( -0.06) | 58.91% ( 0.05) |
| Dorking Wanderers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.15% ( -0.06) | 20.85% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.46% ( -0.09) | 53.53% ( 0.09) |
| York City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.59% ( 0) | 18.41% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.44% ( 0.01) | 49.56% ( -0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Dorking Wanderers | Draw | York City |
| 2-1 @ 7.98% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 6.02% ( 0)2-0 @ 4.72% ( -0)3-1 @ 4.17% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 3.53% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 2.47% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 1.64% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.38% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 0.97% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.92% Total : 35.79% | 1-1 @ 10.18% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 6.76% ( -0)0-0 @ 3.84% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.99% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.37% Total : 23.13% | 1-2 @ 8.62% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 6.49% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 5.5% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 4.86% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 3.81% ( -0)0-3 @ 3.1% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 2.06% ( 0)2-4 @ 1.61% 0-4 @ 1.31% ( 0)Other @ 3.7% Total : 41.07% |
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