Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rochdale win with a probability of 39.53%. A win for Hartlepool United had a probability of 33.56% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rochdale win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.41%) and 0-2 (7.06%). The likeliest Hartlepool United win was 1-0 (9.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.78%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood.
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