SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rochdale win with a probability of 51.67%. A win for Hartlepool United had a probability of 25.41% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rochdale win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.71%) and 2-0 (7.95%). The likeliest Hartlepool United win was 1-2 (6.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.59%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Rochdale | Draw | Hartlepool United |
51.67% ( -0.41) | 22.93% ( 0.16) | 25.41% ( 0.25) |
| Both teams to score 59.06% ( -0.3) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.66% ( -0.52) | 41.35% ( 0.52) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.26% ( -0.53) | 63.74% ( 0.53) |
| Rochdale Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.91% ( -0.33) | 16.1% ( 0.33) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 54.51% ( -0.61) | 45.5% ( 0.61) |
| Hartlepool United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.39% ( -0.08) | 29.61% ( 0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.36% ( -0.1) | 65.65% ( 0.1) |
| Score Analysis |
| Rochdale | Draw | Hartlepool United |
| 2-1 @ 9.68% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 8.71% ( 0.11)2-0 @ 7.95% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 5.89% ( -0.07)3-0 @ 4.84% ( -0.05)3-2 @ 3.59% ( -0.05)4-1 @ 2.69% ( -0.07)4-0 @ 2.21% ( -0.05)4-2 @ 1.64% ( -0.04)5-1 @ 0.98% ( -0.04)Other @ 3.49% Total : 51.67% | 1-1 @ 10.59% ( 0.1) 2-2 @ 5.89% ( -0.02)0-0 @ 4.77% ( 0.11)3-3 @ 1.46% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.22% Total : 22.92% | 1-2 @ 6.45% ( 0.05) 0-1 @ 5.8% ( 0.12)0-2 @ 3.53% ( 0.07)1-3 @ 2.62% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 2.39% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 1.43% ( 0.02)Other @ 3.2% Total : 25.41% |
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