With neither team being particularly pleased with the draw earlier this week, we expect caution to be thrown to the wind here. There is less pressure on the shoulders of Boreham Wood, and that could see them earn a convincing victory, one that will give them some extra breathing space.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kidderminster Harriers win with a probability of 45.26%. A win for Boreham Wood had a probability of 29.16% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kidderminster Harriers win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.15%) and 2-0 (7.91%). The likeliest Boreham Wood win was 0-1 (8.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.15%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Boreham Wood would win this match.
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