SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kidderminster Harriers win with a probability of 48.07%. A win for Ebbsfleet had a probability of 27.72% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kidderminster Harriers win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.44%) and 2-0 (7.85%). The likeliest Ebbsfleet win was 1-2 (6.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.38%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Kidderminster Harriers would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Kidderminster Harriers | Draw | Ebbsfleet |
48.07% ( 0.05) | 24.21% ( -0.02) | 27.72% ( -0.02) |
| Both teams to score 56.76% ( 0.07) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.67% ( 0.1) | 45.33% ( -0.09) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.33% ( 0.09) | 67.67% ( -0.09) |
| Kidderminster Harriers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.04% ( 0.06) | 18.96% ( -0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.51% ( 0.1) | 50.49% ( -0.09) |
| Ebbsfleet Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.05% ( 0.03) | 29.95% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.94% ( 0.04) | 66.06% ( -0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| Kidderminster Harriers | Draw | Ebbsfleet |
| 2-1 @ 9.47% ( 0) 1-0 @ 9.44% ( -0.02)2-0 @ 7.85% ( -0)3-1 @ 5.25% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 4.35% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 3.16% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 2.18% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 1.81% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.31% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.24% Total : 48.07% | 1-1 @ 11.38% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 5.71% ( 0.01)0-0 @ 5.68% ( -0.02)3-3 @ 1.27% ( 0)Other @ 0.17% Total : 24.21% | 1-2 @ 6.86% ( -0) 0-1 @ 6.85% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 4.13% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 2.76% ( 0)2-3 @ 2.29% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 1.66% ( -0)Other @ 3.17% Total : 27.72% |
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