Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Maidenhead United win with a probability of 38.08%. A win for Kidderminster Harriers had a probability of 34.27% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Maidenhead United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.08%) and 2-0 (6.97%). The likeliest Kidderminster Harriers win was 0-1 (10.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.05%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Maidenhead United in this match.
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