SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Notts County win with a probability of 59.95%. A draw had a probability of 21.5% and a win for Maidenhead United had a probability of 18.51%.
The most likely scoreline for a Notts County win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.07%) and 1-2 (9.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.16%), while for a Maidenhead United win it was 1-0 (5.2%). The actual scoreline of 3-4 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Notts County would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Maidenhead United | Draw | Notts County |
18.51% ( -0.13) | 21.54% ( -0.09) | 59.95% ( 0.22) |
| Both teams to score 53.9% ( 0.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.44% ( 0.2) | 43.56% ( -0.19) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.05% ( 0.19) | 65.95% ( -0.19) |
| Maidenhead United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.76% ( -0.03) | 37.24% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.98% ( -0.03) | 74.02% ( 0.03) |
| Notts County Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.88% ( 0.13) | 14.12% ( -0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 58.23% ( 0.26) | 41.77% ( -0.25) |
| Score Analysis |
| Maidenhead United | Draw | Notts County |
| 1-0 @ 5.2% ( -0.05) 2-1 @ 5.02% ( -0.03)2-0 @ 2.57% ( -0.03)3-1 @ 1.65% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 1.62% ( -0)Other @ 2.46% Total : 18.51% | 1-1 @ 10.16% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 5.26% ( -0.04)2-2 @ 4.92% ( -0)3-3 @ 1.06% ( 0)Other @ 0.14% Total : 21.53% | 0-1 @ 10.29% ( -0.04) 0-2 @ 10.07% ( 0.01)1-2 @ 9.95% ( 0)0-3 @ 6.57% ( 0.04)1-3 @ 6.49% ( 0.03)0-4 @ 3.22% ( 0.03)2-3 @ 3.21% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 3.18% ( 0.03)2-4 @ 1.57% ( 0.01)0-5 @ 1.26% ( 0.02)1-5 @ 1.24% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.89% Total : 59.94% |
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