Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Notts County win with a probability of 76.52%. A draw had a probability of 15.2% and a win for Torquay United had a probability of 8.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Notts County win was 2-0 with a probability of 13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10.7%) and 1-0 (10.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.22%), while for a Torquay United win it was 0-1 (2.92%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Notts County would win this match.
-0.08) 
0.04) 
