SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Notts County win with a probability of 76.52%. A draw had a probability of 15.2% and a win for Torquay United had a probability of 8.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Notts County win was 2-0 with a probability of 13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10.7%) and 1-0 (10.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.22%), while for a Torquay United win it was 0-1 (2.92%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Notts County would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Notts County | Draw | Torquay United |
76.52% ( -0.08) | 15.17% ( 0.04) | 8.3% ( 0.03) |
| Both teams to score 45.4% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.06% ( -0.09) | 38.94% ( 0.1) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 38.74% ( -0.1) | 61.26% ( 0.1) |
| Notts County Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 91.54% ( -0.04) | 8.46% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 70.64% ( -0.1) | 29.36% ( 0.1) |
| Torquay United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 49.6% ( 0.01) | 50.39% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 15.07% ( 0.01) | 84.93% ( -0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Notts County | Draw | Torquay United |
| 2-0 @ 13% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 10.7% ( -0.01)1-0 @ 10.53% ( 0.03)2-1 @ 8.91% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 7.34% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 6.61% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 4.53% ( -0.01)5-0 @ 3.27% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 2.51% ( -0)5-1 @ 2.24% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.55% ( -0)6-0 @ 1.34% ( -0.01)6-1 @ 0.92% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.06% Total : 76.51% | 1-1 @ 7.22% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 4.26% ( 0.02)2-2 @ 3.05% ( 0)Other @ 0.64% Total : 15.17% | 0-1 @ 2.92% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 2.47% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 1% ( 0)Other @ 1.91% Total : 8.3% |
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