SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Notts County win with a probability of 47.81%. A win for Eastleigh had a probability of 28.5% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Notts County win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.6%) and 0-2 (7.39%). The likeliest Eastleigh win was 2-1 (7.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.97%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Notts County would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Eastleigh | Draw | Notts County |
28.5% ( 1.11) | 23.69% ( 0.14) | 47.81% ( -1.26) |
| Both teams to score 59.16% ( 0.39) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.56% ( 0.13) | 42.43% ( -0.13) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.16% ( 0.13) | 64.84% ( -0.13) |
| Eastleigh Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.09% ( 0.86) | 27.9% ( -0.86) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.48% ( 1.08) | 63.52% ( -1.08) |
| Notts County Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.06% ( -0.43) | 17.93% ( 0.43) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.24% ( -0.75) | 48.75% ( 0.75) |
| Score Analysis |
| Eastleigh | Draw | Notts County |
| 2-1 @ 7.01% ( 0.19) 1-0 @ 6.39% ( 0.11)2-0 @ 4.08% ( 0.17)3-1 @ 2.98% ( 0.15)3-2 @ 2.56% ( 0.09)3-0 @ 1.73% ( 0.11)4-1 @ 0.95% ( 0.07)Other @ 2.8% Total : 28.5% | 1-1 @ 10.97% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 6.02% ( 0.08)0-0 @ 5% ( -0.03)3-3 @ 1.47% ( 0.03)Other @ 0.22% Total : 23.68% | 1-2 @ 9.43% ( -0.09) 0-1 @ 8.6% ( -0.17)0-2 @ 7.39% ( -0.26)1-3 @ 5.4% ( -0.13)0-3 @ 4.23% ( -0.21)2-3 @ 3.45% ( -0)1-4 @ 2.32% ( -0.09)0-4 @ 1.82% ( -0.12)2-4 @ 1.48% ( -0.02)Other @ 3.68% Total : 47.81% |
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