SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Notts County win with a probability of 65.69%. A draw had a probability of 18.3% and a win for Scunthorpe United had a probability of 16.02%.
The most likely scoreline for a Notts County win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.79%) and 1-3 (7.6%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.12%), while for a Scunthorpe United win it was 2-1 (4.44%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Notts County would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Scunthorpe United | Draw | Notts County |
16.02% ( 0.06) | 18.29% ( 0.53) | 65.69% ( -0.58) |
| Both teams to score 60.3% ( -1.99) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 67.25% ( -2.55) | 32.75% ( 2.55) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 45.57% ( -3) | 54.43% ( 3.01) |
| Scunthorpe United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.51% ( -1.58) | 33.48% ( 1.59) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.88% ( -1.77) | 70.12% ( 1.77) |
| Notts County Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 90.65% ( -0.81) | 9.34% ( 0.82) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 68.5% ( -1.97) | 31.49% ( 1.98) |
| Score Analysis |
| Scunthorpe United | Draw | Notts County |
| 2-1 @ 4.44% ( 0.07) 1-0 @ 3.42% ( 0.32)3-2 @ 1.92% ( -0.13)2-0 @ 1.87% ( 0.1)3-1 @ 1.62% ( -0.05)Other @ 2.74% Total : 16.02% | 1-1 @ 8.12% ( 0.46) 2-2 @ 5.26% ( -0.12)0-0 @ 3.13% ( 0.41)3-3 @ 1.52% ( -0.17)Other @ 0.27% Total : 18.29% | 1-2 @ 9.62% ( 0.2) 0-2 @ 8.79% ( 0.55)1-3 @ 7.6% ( -0.13)0-1 @ 7.42% ( 0.72)0-3 @ 6.95% ( 0.18)1-4 @ 4.5% ( -0.25)2-3 @ 4.16% ( -0.26)0-4 @ 4.12% ( -0.05)2-4 @ 2.46% ( -0.26)1-5 @ 2.14% ( -0.21)0-5 @ 1.95% ( -0.1)2-5 @ 1.17% ( -0.17)Other @ 4.83% Total : 65.69% |
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