SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oxford City win with a probability of 47.57%. A win for Eastleigh had a probability of 28.63% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Oxford City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.68%) and 2-0 (7.4%). The likeliest Eastleigh win was 1-2 (7.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.04%). The actual scoreline of 2-5 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Oxford City | Draw | Eastleigh |
47.57% ( 2.77) | 23.79% ( -0.38) | 28.63% ( -2.39) |
| Both teams to score 58.91% ( -0.15) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.18% ( 0.45) | 42.82% ( -0.45) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.78% ( 0.44) | 65.22% ( -0.44) |
| Oxford City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.82% ( 1.32) | 18.18% ( -1.31) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.83% ( 2.2) | 49.17% ( -2.19) |
| Eastleigh Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.99% ( -1.36) | 28.01% ( 1.37) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.35% ( -1.77) | 63.65% ( 1.78) |
| Score Analysis |
| Oxford City | Draw | Eastleigh |
| 2-1 @ 9.42% ( 0.23) 1-0 @ 8.68% ( 0.19)2-0 @ 7.4% ( 0.46)3-1 @ 5.35% ( 0.35)3-0 @ 4.21% ( 0.42)3-2 @ 3.41% ( 0.1)4-1 @ 2.28% ( 0.24)4-0 @ 1.79% ( 0.25)4-2 @ 1.45% ( 0.1)Other @ 3.59% Total : 47.58% | 1-1 @ 11.04% ( -0.19) 2-2 @ 5.99% ( -0.08)0-0 @ 5.09% ( -0.1)3-3 @ 1.45% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.21% Total : 23.78% | 1-2 @ 7.03% ( -0.4) 0-1 @ 6.48% ( -0.39)0-2 @ 4.12% ( -0.42)1-3 @ 2.98% ( -0.29)2-3 @ 2.54% ( -0.14)0-3 @ 1.75% ( -0.25)1-4 @ 0.95% ( -0.13)Other @ 2.78% Total : 28.64% |
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