SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dagenham & Redbridge win with a probability of 51.59%. A win for Oxford City had a probability of 24.25% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dagenham & Redbridge win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.66%) and 2-0 (8.97%). The likeliest Oxford City win was 0-1 (6.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.46%). The actual scoreline of 7-1 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dagenham & Redbridge would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Dagenham & Redbridge | Draw | Oxford City |
51.59% ( -1.15) | 24.16% ( 0.39) | 24.25% ( 0.75) |
| Both teams to score 53.69% ( -0.41) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.12% ( -0.95) | 47.88% ( 0.95) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.94% ( -0.88) | 70.06% ( 0.88) |
| Dagenham & Redbridge Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.45% ( -0.79) | 18.55% ( 0.79) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.2% ( -1.36) | 49.8% ( 1.36) |
| Oxford City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.92% ( 0.14) | 34.08% ( -0.14) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.23% ( 0.15) | 70.77% ( -0.15) |
| Score Analysis |
| Dagenham & Redbridge | Draw | Oxford City |
| 1-0 @ 10.65% ( 0.15) 2-1 @ 9.66% ( -0.08)2-0 @ 8.97% ( -0.11)3-1 @ 5.42% ( -0.19)3-0 @ 5.04% ( -0.19)3-2 @ 2.92% ( -0.09)4-1 @ 2.28% ( -0.14)4-0 @ 2.12% ( -0.14)4-2 @ 1.23% ( -0.07)Other @ 3.29% Total : 51.59% | 1-1 @ 11.46% ( 0.2) 0-0 @ 6.32% ( 0.25)2-2 @ 5.2% ( -0.02)3-3 @ 1.05% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.13% Total : 24.16% | 0-1 @ 6.81% ( 0.29) 1-2 @ 6.17% ( 0.13)0-2 @ 3.66% ( 0.17)1-3 @ 2.21% ( 0.06)2-3 @ 1.87% ( -0)0-3 @ 1.31% ( 0.07)Other @ 2.22% Total : 24.25% |
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