Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ebbsfleet win with a probability of 43.47%. A win for Oxford City had a probability of 32.67% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ebbsfleet win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.78%) and 0-2 (6.42%). The likeliest Oxford City win was 2-1 (7.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.91%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood.
-0.02) 
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